Fano vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 2
FAN
61%
23%
17%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FAN
4 - 2
USP
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FAN
0 - 1
LAQ
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GIU
4 - 1
FAN
48%
26%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 0
ACP
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ACG
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
JUS
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAR
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIN
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |