Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
13%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
54.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
DUN
3 - 0
FAL
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
FAL
1 - 5
GLA
18%
28%
55%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
MHE
2 - 2
FAL
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
FAL
3 - 3
ABE
18%
30%
52%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
DUN
2 - 0
FAL
82%
12%
5%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
HOM
2 - 2
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
HAM
1 - 3
HOM
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
HOM
0 - 0
STM
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
HOM
1 - 1
GLA
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |