Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-7
Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
HOM
4 - 1
FAL
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
HAM
1 - 2
FAL
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
EAS
1 - 5
FAL
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
FAL
5 - 1
STR
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
FAL
1 - 2
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
HOM
2 - 2
KIL
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
HOM
5 - 1
LOK
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
GLA
4 - 2
HOM
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
HOM
4 - 1
FAL
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
CEL
2 - 2
HOM
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |