Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
FAL
4 - 0
HIB
41%
21%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 0
FAL
76%
14%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
HOM
5 - 0
FAL
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1956 |
HIB
0 - 1
FAL
81%
12%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1956 |
FAL
0 - 2
PAR
52%
20%
28%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
HOM
2 - 2
PAR
75%
14%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
HIB
1 - 2
HOM
58%
19%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
HOM
5 - 0
FAL
85%
9%
6%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1956 |
PAR
3 - 1
HOM
49%
21%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1956 |
HOM
6 - 1
HIB
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |