Falkirk vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1906 |
FAL
4 - 0
GRE
72%
15%
13%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1906 |
CEL
7 - 0
FAL
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1906 |
FAL
0 - 0
AIR
47%
21%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1905 |
ABE
2 - 0
FAL
72%
15%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1905 |
HIB
4 - 1
FAL
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1906 |
HOM
4 - 0
DUN
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1906 |
AIR
1 - 1
HOM
34%
23%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1906 |
TLA
1 - 3
HOM
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1905 |
MHE
2 - 1
HOM
21%
22%
57%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1905 |
HOM
1 - 0
STM
77%
13%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |