Falkirk vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 2
FAL
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FAL
3 - 0
DUN
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 0
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
STM
1 - 2
FAL
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
FAL
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 2
AYR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 2
STM
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 3
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DUM
1 - 2
QOS
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DUM
0 - 1
HIB
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |