Falkirk vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 4
FAL
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 2
HIB
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
FAL
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
DUM
2 - 1
FAL
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 2
QOS
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AYR
0 - 2
DUN
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
QOS
0 - 0
AYR
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
AYR
4 - 4
DUM
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
STM
1 - 1
AYR
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 1
DUN
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |