Falkirk vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
ICT
0 - 0
FAL
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
FAL
1 - 0
STM
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 1
FAL
29%
25%
47%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FAL
1 - 1
CLY
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
STJ
2 - 1
FAL
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 1
CLY
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 1
STJ
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
STM
4 - 1
AYR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
AYR
1 - 2
ROS
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
BRE
0 - 3
AYR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |