Fafe vs Mirandela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RIB
2 - 1
FAF
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FAF
0 - 2
RIB
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
FAF
34%
26%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FAF
1 - 0
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
FAF
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MIR
3 - 2
OSL
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RIB
2 - 1
MIR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 2
CHA
27%
27%
47%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RIB
1 - 1
MIR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 1
FAM
15%
24%
62%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |