Fafe vs Chaves II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VSC
1 - 1
FAF
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
VIZ
1 - 0
FAF
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FAF
2 - 1
BRA
45%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PED
0 - 0
FAF
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FAF
1 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 1
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PED
1 - 3
CHA
26%
21%
52%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
4 - 1
MAR
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHA
52%
20%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRA
16%
22%
63%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |