Extremadura vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ULP
1 - 0
EXT
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
EXT
0 - 0
COX
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RMC
3 - 1
EXT
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
EXT
0 - 0
RVB
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CDB
0 - 0
EXT
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GET
1 - 2
CEL
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CEL
4 - 0
ULP
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
COX
2 - 0
CEL
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 2
RMC
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
RVB
3 - 1
CEL
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |