Exeter City vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 2
EXE
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PLY
3 - 0
EXE
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
EXE
4 - 0
CRE
68%
19%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
EXE
4 - 2
WYC
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
OPA
0 - 1
EXE
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
STE
2 - 1
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
STE
3 - 0
WYC
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 2
STE
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
STE
2 - 0
GRI
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 0
STE
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |