Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 2
TWE
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
93%
5%
2%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
FOR
3 - 0
EXC
57%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOS
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
PSV
2 - 1
BOS
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
HFC
0 - 2
PSV
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
UTR
0 - 3
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
PSV
5 - 0
FEY
59%
21%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
GAE
1 - 3
PSV
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |