Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
60%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 2
UTR
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
WIL
3 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
EXC
1 - 4
AZA
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 1
ZWO
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1983 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
RJC
1 - 2
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
PSV
0 - 1
ZWO
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
TWE
3 - 1
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |