Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
62.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
SPA
4 - 2
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
EXC
2 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
EXC
0 - 3
AJA
12%
20%
68%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
PSV
8 - 1
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
PSV
0 - 2
DUN
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 1
PSV
20%
24%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
DUN
1 - 1
PSV
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |