Excelsior vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
GRO
4 - 2
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
GAE
1 - 2
EXC
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
TEL
2 - 0
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1999 |
EXC
7 - 1
VVV
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
GRO
4 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
VOL
1 - 3
HEL
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
HFC
2 - 2
VOL
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
HER
2 - 0
VOL
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
VOL
5 - 4
TEL
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
VVV
2 - 4
VOL
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |