Excelsior Virton vs Eendracht Aalst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LEU
1 - 1
EXC
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
TUB
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
EXC
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 0
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 0
WOL
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EEA
0 - 3
LOM
22%
24%
53%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GEE
0 - 3
EEA
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EEA
1 - 1
KSV
57%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 2
EEA
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EEA
1 - 1
PAT
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |