Excelsior Virton vs Eendracht Aalst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 2
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WAA
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
KSV
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
ZUL
3 - 0
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
EXC
0 - 0
KSV
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
EEA
1 - 1
WAA
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
KSV
2 - 0
EEA
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
EEA
1 - 1
ZUL
36%
24%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
ANT
2 - 0
EEA
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAT
4 - 1
EEA
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |