Excelsior Meerzorg vs SNL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 2
INT
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
NOT
3 - 2
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 6
WBC
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VIC
4 - 1
EXC
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 0
TRA
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 1
SNL
58%
21%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SNL
0 - 3
WBC
44%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
SNL
1 - 0
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BOM
4 - 2
SNL
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
TAK
1 - 1
SNL
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |