Excelsior Meerzorg vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
PEU
0 - 2
EXC
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
LAV
1 - 3
EXC
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
EXC
4 - 6
TAK
57%
21%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
EXC
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 5
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CSM
1 - 3
FOR
22%
24%
54%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CSM
0 - 3
ELI
20%
23%
56%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
NOT
4 - 0
CSM
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CSM
0 - 2
KAM
28%
24%
49%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CSM
1 - 3
YOR
22%
23%
56%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |