Excelsior Maassluis vs Sparta Nijkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
LIE
0 - 1
EXC
38%
24%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LIS
3 - 0
EXC
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 0
SCH
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ONS
2 - 3
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
TER
0 - 2
EXC
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 3
ONS
49%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 7
UTR
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
41%
23%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SPA
4 - 2
VVA
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DOV
1 - 5
SPA
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |