AS Excelsior vs Saint-Pauloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+165%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PET
0 - 2
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
SAI
48%
26%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 2
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 1
SAI
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 2
CON
21%
26%
53%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 0
CAP
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SDE
1 - 0
PAU
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 2
PAU
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 2
PAU
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |