AS Excelsior vs Marsouins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 3
PAU
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 3
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
PIE
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FCA
4 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
PET
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEN
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
PET
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PIE
0 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAU
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |