AS Excelsior vs Avirons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PET
0 - 0
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 1
EXC
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 0
SAI
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SDF
0 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avirons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 0
TAM
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 0
BEN
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PAU
2 - 0
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |