Excelsior .31 vs Staphorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DVS
2 - 1
EXC
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
HOE
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ODI
5 - 1
EXC
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
DOV
0 - 2
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
ACV
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Staphorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
STA
2 - 1
DOV
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
STA
5 - 1
ODI
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
STE
3 - 0
STA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ACV
2 - 1
STA
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
STA
4 - 3
VVO
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |