Excelsior .31 vs Genemuiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
KAT
2 - 0
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 3
SPA
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
EXC
0 - 2
ADO
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 1
ARC
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genemuiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HOE
1 - 2
GEN
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
3 - 1
KAT
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 0
ACV
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
6 - 2
GEN
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 1
BAR
28%
26%
47%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |