Excelsior .31 vs DVS'33 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 3
HOE
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
GOE
0 - 4
EXC
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 2
TER
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 4
EXC
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
DON
1 - 2
EXC
44%
24%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
DVS'33
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ONS
1 - 2
DVS
16%
21%
64%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 0
DVS
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
DVS
2 - 1
DOV
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 2
DVS
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
DVS
4 - 0
GOE
59%
21%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |