Ex Alumnos 185 vs Libertad Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DPR
4 - 1
ALU
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 0
JGB
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 0
SFE
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 0
ALU
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -3 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
IND
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Libertad Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LBC
2 - 1
SFE
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 1
LBC
57%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
LBC
0 - 0
ACH
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
LBC
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |