Ex Alumnos 185 vs Ferroviario Corrientes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 0
ALU
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
IND
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 3
ALU
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 0
RES
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 1
ALU
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviario Corrientes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 1
JGB
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 0
SFE
36%
26%
39%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SFE
0 - 0
COL
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
4 - 0
SFE
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
SFE
5 - 0
CEN
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |