Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NIO
0 - 3
ETG
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ETG
1 - 3
MON
23%
26%
52%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
ETG
0 - 2
AJA
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CLE
4 - 1
ETG
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ANN
1 - 4
ETG
7%
14%
79%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
MET
2 - 1
LUS
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
MET
1 - 0
SOC
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
MET
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MET
1 - 2
DIJ
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |