CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
ES Sahel vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 1
ETO
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ETO
0 - 0
BEN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +9 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
ZES
1 - 1
ETO
9%
18%
73%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
3 - 0
JSK
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
1 - 1
PRI
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 1
ETO
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 2
ALI
64%
19%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +10 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
TOW
0 - 0
ESP
9%
18%
72%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 0
TAT
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALA
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |