Ethnikos Asteras vs Messiniakos Kalamata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2007 |
AGR
2 - 0
ETH
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ETH
0 - 2
THR
44%
28%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAN
0 - 1
ETH
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ETH
0 - 2
VER
34%
29%
36%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
KAL
2 - 0
ETH
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Messiniakos Kalamata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2007 |
MES
3 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
MES
3 - 0
AGR
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
THR
4 - 1
MES
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MES
2 - 1
PAN
41%
27%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
VER
0 - 0
MES
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |