Ethnikos Asteras vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
KAL
1 - 2
ETH
44%
28%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ETH
0 - 2
VER
34%
29%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
KAS
2 - 2
ETH
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ETH
1 - 1
PAN
49%
27%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
ETH
0 - 0
THR
33%
30%
38%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
ARI
3 - 1
OLY
65%
23%
13%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ILI
0 - 1
ARI
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
ARI
0 - 0
PAN
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ARI
1 - 0
KAL
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
VER
0 - 2
ARI
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |