Etehad Al Reef vs Buri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.4%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.2%
83.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
19.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.6%
0-3
15.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etehad Al Reef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ISA
3 - 2
EAR
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
EAR
1 - 2
UAH
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
EAR
1 - 2
QAL
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
EAR
0 - 5
MAN
3%
12%
85%
|
11 | 62 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
AHL
1 - 1
EAR
91%
8%
1%
|
10 | 58 | 48 | +1 |
Matches
Buri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
TAD
1 - 1
MAL
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 1
TAD
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
TAD
0 - 0
BUD
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
QAL
0 - 2
TAD
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ALH
2 - 1
TAD
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |