Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
MAI
2 - 0
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
TAL
2 - 1
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
JUU
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
SPB
4 - 2
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
EST
2 - 1
RAC
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAA
1 - 2
RAC
43%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
JUU
1 - 2
CAA
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
CAA
2 - 2
MAI
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
CAA
2 - 1
DES
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TAL
3 - 2
CAA
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |