Torneo Federal B - Transición Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs 9 de Julio Morteros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
9DJ
0 - 1
EST
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
EST
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
HUR
3 - 0
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
9 de Julio Morteros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
9DJ
0 - 1
EST
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
9DJ
2 - 0
NEW
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 1
9DJ
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
9DJ
1 - 1
GPJ
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
ARG
0 - 1
9DJ
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |