Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TUC
3 - 1
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
ATL
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
EST
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
ANZ
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 1
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
LAR
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 3
ZUL
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 2
LAR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 4
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |