Estrella vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VSB
3 - 2
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
LAN
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
VEC
1 - 0
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
UNV
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CDM
2 - 1
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 3
TEL
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SDT
1 - 2
UDI
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 0
RSI
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
UDI
45%
26%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
UDI
3 - 2
REA
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |