Estoril vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
TON
3 - 1
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
FAM
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 1
EST
32%
28%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 0
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 1
SLB
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VIZ
0 - 4
FCP
13%
20%
68%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |