Estación Central vs Tomás Greig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estación Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LIM
2 - 1
EST
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
EST
3 - 3
JOA
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
EST
3 - 0
FVC
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 2
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 1
JUV
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DER
3 - 3
TOM
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 1
GAS
63%
20%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
GVE
4 - 2
TOM
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
CDP
1 - 0
TOM
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |