Estación Central vs Tomás Greig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estación Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
GVE
4 - 0
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
EST
4 - 1
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
EST
2 - 3
JOA
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
LAU
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
TOM
4 - 1
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
JOA
2 - 4
TOM
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
LAU
2 - 1
TOM
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 1
JUV
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
TAL
3 - 1
TOM
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |