Espigão vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espigão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 3
PAY
14%
19%
66%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
ARI
1 - 0
ESP
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARI
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
ESP
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
VIL
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
ESP
52%
23%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
VIL
44%
24%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
MOT
1 - 3
VIL
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 0
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
ROL
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |