Esperanza vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
ESP
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 3
PUL
17%
23%
60%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UCA
7 - 0
ESP
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 2
IMP
10%
21%
70%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
ESP
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ABA
3 - 1
SAN
20%
24%
57%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MSM
2 - 0
ABA
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 0
ABA
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 2
MAR
8%
19%
73%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PUL
1 - 1
ABA
73%
18%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |