CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
ES Tunis vs ES Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 2
ALI
64%
19%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
TOW
0 - 0
ESP
9%
18%
72%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 0
TAT
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALA
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 1
ESP
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ETO
0 - 0
BEN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
ZES
1 - 1
ETO
9%
18%
73%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
3 - 0
JSK
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
1 - 1
PRI
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
3 - 1
ALR
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +2 |