Espanyol vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
13.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
BET
3 - 0
ESP
49%
22%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
ESP
2 - 0
ATH
39%
22%
40%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
OSA
6 - 1
ESP
44%
20%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
ESP
3 - 0
RMA
41%
22%
37%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
67%
16%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
HER
1 - 0
OVI
30%
20%
49%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
HER
3 - 0
BET
35%
22%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
HER
1 - 0
OSA
50%
21%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
RMA
5 - 1
HER
90%
7%
3%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
FCB
1 - 0
HER
87%
8%
5%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |