Espanyol vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
0 - 2
MAL
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
ALB
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
0 - 0
DEP
43%
28%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2000 |
ATH
2 - 1
ESP
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 1
NUM
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CEL
5 - 3
OVI
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
CEL
4 - 2
SPO
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CEL
0 - 2
FCB
35%
24%
42%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2000 |
VCF
1 - 1
CEL
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1999 |
CEL
2 - 4
MAL
74%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |