Español de Alquián vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
66.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+432%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 0
ALQ
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALQ
87%
10%
3%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALQ
0 - 3
VEL
9%
19%
72%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
ALQ
85%
12%
4%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALQ
0 - 3
PAL
10%
21%
68%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
VEL
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAN
26%
28%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
PAL
27%
28%
44%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALH
0 - 2
MAN
24%
27%
49%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
5 - 1
ATA
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |