España U21 vs Rusia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
RUS
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
5 - 2
NOR
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
ESP
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 3
ESP
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 3
ESP
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Rusia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
AND
0 - 3
RUS
8%
15%
77%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
RUS
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
RUS
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
RUS
31%
25%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RUS
4 - 2
UKR
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |