España U21 vs Inglaterra U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
LTU
1 - 1
ESP
13%
22%
66%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 2
BEL
78%
14%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
BIH
0 - 2
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 1
SCO
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 1
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Inglaterra U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 0
ENG
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
ENG
2 - 0
WAL
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
POL
1 - 3
ENG
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
AUT
0 - 2
ENG
18%
22%
60%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
ENG
3 - 2
NED
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |