España U21 vs Dinamarca U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
CRO
0 - 3
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
CRO
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
POL
0 - 1
ESP
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
NED
58%
23%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
FIN
1 - 1
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamarca U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 3
SHA
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
DEN
3 - 0
QAT
74%
16%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 3
NED
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 3
FRA
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
DEN
1 - 1
LTU
81%
13%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |